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Table 1 Expectations of and perceived need for civil war in the United States

From: Expectations of and perceived need for civil war in the USA: findings from a 2023 nationally representative survey

Query and response

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI)

Which of the following comes closer to your view of what a second civil war might look like?*

 Like an insurgency or guerrilla war, with small groups attacking specific targets or people

8171

83.1 (82.0, 84.3)

 Like the first Civil War in the United States, with opposing armies and large battles

753

11.1 (10.1, 12.1)

 Refused

461

5.7 (5.1, 6.4)

How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

In the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States

 Do not agree

6167

63.2 (61.9, 64.6)

 Somewhat agree

2576

28.3 (27.1, 29.6)

 Strongly or very strongly agree

480

5.7 (5.1, 6.4)

 Refused

162

2.7 (2.2, 3.2)

The United States needs a civil war to set things right

 Do not agree

8096

84.5 (83.4, 85.5)

 Somewhat agree

851

9.4 (8.6, 10.3)

 Strongly or very strongly agree

297

3.8 (3.2, 4.4)

 Refused

141

2.3 (1.9, 2.8)

  1. *Some people talk about a second civil war in the United States. Which of the following comes closer to your view of what a second civil war might look like? 1. A second civil war would be like the first Civil War in the United States, with opposing armies and large battles. 2. A second civil war would be like an insurgency or guerrilla war, with small groups attacking specific targets or people
  2. Response options were do not agree, somewhat agree, strongly agree, very strongly agree. Findings are combined for the strongly and very strongly agree responses