Table 6 Association between future likelihood of firearm possession and use in a situation where political violence is perceived as justified and expectations and perceived need for civil war in the United States
Query and response | Anticipated Future Firearm Use When Political Violence Is Justified‡ | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I Will Be Armed with a Gun | ||||||
Not LIkely | Somewhat LIkely | Very/Extremely Likely | ||||
Unweighted n | Weighted % (95% CI) | Unweighted n | Weighted % (95% CI) | Unweighted n | Weighted % (95% CI) | |
Which of the following comes closer to your view of what a second civil war might look like?* | ||||||
Like an insurgency or guerrilla war, with small groups attacking specific targets or people | 6082 | 90.1 (89.0, 91.1) | 1075 | 83.1 (79.5, 86.6) | 954 | 79.6 (75.5, 83.6) |
Like the first Civil War in the United States, with opposing armies and large battles | 465 | 9.9 (8.9, 11.0) | 141 | 16.9 (13.4, 20.5) | 142 | 20.4 (16.4, 24.5) |
Adjusted prevalence difference (95% CI; q-value)† | Referent | 5.5 (2.1, 8.9; 0.002) | 9.6 (5.6, 13.7; < 0.001) | |||
How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?† | ||||||
In the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States | ||||||
Do not agree | 4890 | 70.1 (68.6, 71.6) | 704 | 51.3 (47.3, 55.3) | 533 | 42.8 (38.7, 46.9) |
Somewhat agree | 1649 | 26.1 (24.7, 27.6) | 459 | 39.7 (35.7, 43.6) | 436 | 38.3 (34.3, 42.3) |
Strongly/very strongly agree | 222 | 3.8 (3.1, 4.4) | 89 | 9.0 (6.5, 11.6) | 164 | 18.9 (15.3, 22.5) |
Adjusted prevalence difference (95% CI; q-value)§ | Referent | 4.6 (2.0, 7.3; 0.001) | 14.7 (11.1, 18.3; < 0.001) | |||
The United States needs a civil war to set things right | ||||||
Do not agree | 6246 | 90.8 (89.8, 91.8) | 1006 | 76.7 (73.1, 80.3) | 783 | 64.5 (60.3, 68.6) |
Somewhat agree | 415 | 6.8 (6.0, 7.7) | 188 | 17.4 (14.2, 20.7) | 233 | 21.5 (18.0, 24.9) |
Strongly/very strongly agree | 118 | 2.3 (1.8, 2.9) | 61 | 5.9 (3.7, 8.0) | 116 | 14.1 (10.8, 17.3) |
Adjusted prevalence difference (95% CI; q-value)§ | Referent | 3.0 (0.8, 5.1; 0.006) | 11.1 (7.8, 14.4; < 0.001) | |||
Query and response | Anticipated Future Firearm Use When Political Violence Is Justified‡ | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I Will Carry a Gun Openly, So That People Know I Am Armed | ||||||
Not LIkely | Somewhat LIkely | Very/Extremely Likely | ||||
Unweighted n | Weighted % (95% CI) | Unweighted n | Weighted % (95% CI) | Unweighted n | Weighted % (95% CI) | |
Which of the following comes closer to your view of what a second civil war might look like?* | ||||||
Like an insurgency or guerrilla war, with small groups attacking specific targets or people | 7117 | 89.9 (88.9, 90.9) | 652 | 80.9 (76.3, 85.5) | 338 | 68.9 (61.7, 76.1) |
Like the first Civil War in the United States, with opposing armies and large battles | 546 | 10.1 (9.1, 11.1) | 104 | 19.1 (14.5, 23.7) | 92 | 31.1 (23.9, 38.3) |
Adjusted prevalence difference (95% CI; q-value)† | Referent | 7.0 (2.5, 11.5; 0.002) | 17.0 (9.9, 24.1; < 0.001) | |||
How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?† | ||||||
In the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States | ||||||
Do not agree | 5577 | 68.7 (67.3, 70.1) | 384 | 43.2 (38.0, 48.4) | 158 | 32.2 (25.6, 38.7) |
Somewhat agree | 2037 | 27.1 (25.8, 28.4) | 329 | 43.7 (38.4, 48.9) | 178 | 41.4 (34.5, 48.3) |
Strongly/very strongly agree | 302 | 4.2 (3.5, 4.8) | 64 | 13.1 (8.9, 17.3) | 108 | 26.5 (20.5, 32.4) |
Adjusted prevalence difference (95% CI; q-value)§ | Referent | 7.8 (3.7, 12; < 0.001) | 21.3 (15.3, 27.3; < 0.001) | |||
The United States needs a civil war to set things right | ||||||
Do not agree | 7228 | 90.3 (89.4, 91.3) | 550 | 64.8 (59.5, 70.1) | 250 | 51.2 (44.2, 58.2) |
Somewhat agree | 555 | 7.3 (6.5, 8.1) | 173 | 25.4 (20.5, 30.2) | 107 | 25.6 (19.3, 31.8) |
Strongly/very strongly agree | 151 | 2.3 (1.8, 2.8) | 55 | 9.9 (6.1, 13.6) | 87 | 23.2 (17.5, 28.9) |
Adjusted prevalence difference (95% CI; q-value)§ | Referent | 6.8 (3.1, 10.4; < 0.001) | 19.6 (13.8, 25.5; < 0.001) | |||
Query and response | Anticipated future firearm use when political violence is justified‡ | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
I will shoot someone with a gun | ||||||
Not likely | Somewhat likely | Very/extremely likely | ||||
Unweighted n | Weighted % (95% CI) | Unweighted n | Weighted % (95% CI) | Unweighted n | Weighted % (95% CI) | |
Which of the following comes closer to your view of what a second civil war might look like?* | ||||||
Like an insurgency or guerrilla war, with small groups attacking specific targets or people | 7746 | 89.2 (88.2, 90.3) | 261 | 70.3 (62.4, 78.3) | 107 | 71.1 (59.8, 82.4) |
Like the first Civil War in the United States, with opposing armies and large battles | 658 | 10.8 (9.7, 11.8) | 57 | 29.7 (21.7, 37.6) | 34 | 28.9 (17.6, 40.2) |
Adjusted prevalence difference (95% CI; q-value)† | Referent | 14.3 (6.4, 22.1; < 0.001) | 11.4 (0.1, 22.6; 0.05) | |||
How much do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?† | ||||||
In the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States | ||||||
Do not agree | 5972 | 67.3 (65.9, 68.6) | 126 | 32.9 (25.4, 40.5) | 31 | 18.8 (9.8, 27.7) |
Somewhat agree | 2335 | 28.1 (26.8, 29.4) | 152 | 48.2 (40.0, 56.5) | 61 | 37.9 (26.9, 48.9) |
Strongly/very strongly agree | 374 | 4.6 (4.0, 5.3) | 48 | 18.8 (12.1, 25.6) | 53 | 43.3 (31.6, 55.1) |
Adjusted prevalence difference (95% CI; q-value)§ | Referent | 12.6 (5.9, 19.3; < 0.001) | 37.0 (25.5, 48.5; < 0.001) | |||
The United States needs a civil war to set things right | ||||||
Do not agree | 7784 | 89.2 (88.2, 90.1) | 202 | 49.0 (40.9, 57.2) | 55 | 30.4 (20.4, 40.4) |
Somewhat agree | 713 | 8.3 (7.5, 9.1) | 88 | 34.2 (26.0, 42.4) | 35 | 24.9 (14.6, 35.2) |
Strongly/very strongly agree | 201 | 2.6 (2.1, 3.0) | 39 | 16.8 (9.9, 23.6) | 55 | 44.7 (33.0, 56.4) |
Adjusted prevalence difference (95% CI; q-value)§ | Referent | 12.9 (6.6, 19.3; < 0.001) | 40.6 (29.1, 52.1; < 0.001) | |||