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Table 2 Beliefs concerning democracy in the United States

From: Trends in views of democracy and society and support for political violence in the USA, 2022–2024: findings from a nationally representative survey

Statement

2022 Respondents (n= 12,947)

2023 Respondents (n=9385)

2024 Respondents (n=8896)

Mean Difference, * 2022-2023

Mean Difference, * 2023-2024

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI) Mean score (95% CI)

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI) Mean score (95% CI)

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI) Mean score (95% CI)

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI) Mean score (95% CI)

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI) Mean score (95% CI)

When thinking about democracy in the United States these days, do you believe…

          

 There is a serious threat to our democracy. (1)

9409

67.4 (66.3, 68.5)

6452

62.3 (60.9, 63.7)

6256

64.8 (63.4, 66.2)

9385

− 5.2 (− 6.6, − 3.8)

8185

1.3 (− 0.2, 2.7)

 There may be a threat to our democracy, but it is not serious. (2)

2640

23.5 (22.5, 24.5)

2253

28.0 (26.8, 29.3)

1953

25.9 (24.6, 27.2)

9385

4.7 (3.3, 6.2)

8185

− 1.5 (− 3.0, 0.1)

 There is no threat to our democracy. (3)

780

7.7 (7.0, 8.4)

529

7.0 (6.2, 7.8)

573

7.3 (6.5, 8.1)

9385

− 0.7 (− 1.8, 0.3)

8185

0.6 (− 0.3, 1.6)

 Non-response

118

1.4 (1.1, 1.7)

151

2.6 (2.1, 3.1)

114

2.0 (1.6, 2.5)

9385

1.2 (0.7, 1.8)

8185

− 0.4 (− 0.9, 0.0)

 Item score†

12,829

1.39 (1.38, 1.41)

9234

1.43 (1.41, 1.45)

8782

1.41 (1.39, 1.43)

9194

0.041 (0.022, 0.061)

8020

− 0.007 (− 0.026, 0.012)

How important do you think it is for the United States to remain a democracy?

          

 Not important (1)

191

2.1 (1.8, 2.5)

261

4.0 (3.4, 4.6)

193

3.5 (2.9, 4.2)

9385

1.8 (1.2, 2.5)

8185

− 0.7 (− 1.5, 0.0)

 Somewhat important (2)

659

7.7 (7.0, 8.4)

570

9.7 (8.8, 10.7)

411

7.6 (6.8, 8.5)

9385

2.2 (1.2, 3.3)

8185

− 2.1 (− 3.3, -1.0)

 Very or extremely important (3)

12,003

89.0 (88.2, 89.8)

8448

84.6 (83.4, 85.7)

8208

87.5 (86.3, 88.5)

9385

− 4.6 (− 5.6, − 3.5)

8185

2.9 (1.7, 4.0)

 Non-response

94

1.2 (0.9, 1.4)

106

1.7 (1.3, 2.2)

84

1.4 (1.1, 1.9)

9385

0.5 (0.0, 0.9)

8185

0.0 (− 0.4, 0.3)

 Item score†

12,853

2.88 (2.87, 2.89)

9279

2.82 (2.80, 2.84)

8812

2.85 (2.84, 2.87)

9241

− 0.064 (− 0.078, − 0.051)

8071

0.040 (0.024, 0.055)

Democracy is the best form of government.

          

 Do not agree (1)

595

5.8 (5.2, 6.4)

531

7.5 (6.7, 8.4)

493

7.2 (6.4, 8.0)

9385

2.0 (1.1, 2.9)

8185

− 0.8 (− 1.8, 0.2)

 Somewhat agree (2)

2396

23.1 (22.1, 24.1)

1765

24.1 (22.8, 25.3)

1507

22.0 (20.7, 23.3)

9385

1.1 (− 0.4, 2.5)

8185

− 1.7 (− 3.3, − 0.1)

 Strongly or very strongly agree (3)

9823

69.5 (68.5, 70.6)

6948

65.9 (64.5, 67.3)

6775

68.7 (67.3, 70.1)

9385

− 3.9 (− 5.3, − 2.5)

8185

2.5 (1.1, 4.0)

 Non-response

133

1.6 (1.3, 1.9)

141

2.5 (2.0, 3.0)

121

2.2 (1.7, 2.7)

9385

0.8 (0.3, 1.3)

8185

− 0.1 (− 0.5, 0.4)

 Item score†

12,814

2.65 (2.63, 2.66)

9244

2.60 (2.58, 2.62)

8775

2.63 (2.61, 2.65)

9191

− 0.057 (− 0.075, − 0.039)

8029

0.033 (0.014, 0.053)

These days, American democracy only serves the interest of the wealthy and powerful.

          

 Do not agree (1)

3976

26.3 (25.4, 27.2)

2789

25.8 (24.6, 26.9)

3301

31.8 (30.6, 33.1)

9385

− 1.0 (− 2.4, 0.3)

8185

6.4 (5.0, 7.9)

 Somewhat agree (2)

4499

36.1 (35.0, 37.2)

3678

39.6 (38.2, 40.9)

3239

37.3 (35.9, 38.6)

9385

3.3 (1.6, 5.0)

8185

− 2.3 (− 4.1, − 0.5)

 Strongly or very strongly agree (3)

4354

36.2 (35.1, 37.3)

2781

32.2 (30.9, 33.5)

2259

29.2 (27.9, 30.6)

9385

− 3.2 (− 4.7, -1.7)

8185

− 3.6 (− 5.1, − 2.0)

 Non-response

118

1.4 (1.1, 1.7)

137

2.4 (1.9, 3.0)

97

1.7 (1.3, 2.2)

9385

0.9 (0.5, 1.4)

8185

− 0.6 (− 1.0, − 0.1)

 Item score†

12,829

2.10 (2.08, 2.12)

9248

2.07 (2.04, 2.09)

8799

1.97 (1.95, 2.00)

9199

− 0.020 (− 0.044, 0.003)

8036

− 0.107 (− 0.131, − 0.083)

Having a strong leader for America is more important than having a democracy.

          

 Do not agree (1)

7921

56.2 (55.1, 57.3)

6219

59.6 (58.2, 61.0)

6076

63.0 (61.6, 64.4)

9385

3.0 (1.6, 4.4)

8185

2.7 (1.2, 4.2)

 Somewhat agree (2)

2628

23.0 (22.1, 24.0)

1685

21.7 (20.5, 22.9)

1403

18.8 (17.6, 20.0)

9385

− 1.5 (− 3.1, 0.0)

8185

− 2.8 (− 4.4, -1.2)

 Strongly or very strongly agree (3)

2254

19.1 (18.2, 20.0)

1333

16.1 (15.0, 17.1)

1280

15.9 (14.9, 17.1)

9385

− 2.3 (− 3.6, -1.1)

8185

0.3 (− 1.0, 1.6)

 Non-response

144

1.6 (1.3, 2.0)

148

2.6 (2.1, 3.2)

137

2.3 (1.8, 2.8)

9385

0.8 (0.3, 1.3)

8185

− 0.2 (− 0.7, 0.3)

 Item score†

12,803

1.62 (1.60, 1.64)

9237

1.55 (1.53, 1.57)

8759

1.52 (1.50, 1.54)

9182

− 0.057 (− 0.079, − 0.035)

8001

− 0.024 (− 0.048, − 0.001)

The 2020 election was stolen from Donald Trump, and Joe Biden is an illegitimate president.

          

 Do not agree (1)

8442

66.9 (65.8, 67.9)

6135

66.7 (65.4, 68.0)

5843

66.7 (65.3, 68.0)

9385

− 1.0 (− 1.9, 0.0)

8185

− 0.6 (− 1.6, 0.4)

 Somewhat agree (2)

1830

13.5 (12.8, 14.3)

1364

14.1 (13.1, 15.1)

1338

14.3 (13.4, 15.4)

9385

1.0 (0.0, 2.1)

8185

0.6 (− 0.5, 1.7)

 Strongly or very strongly agree (3)

2502

17.9 (17.0, 18.7)

1729

16.7 (15.7, 17.7)

1580

17.0 (16.0, 18.1)

9385

− 0.9 (− 1.8, 0.0)

8185

0.2 (− 0.8, 1.1)

 Non-response

173

1.7 (1.4, 2.0)

157

2.5 (2.0, 3.0)

135

2.0 (1.6, 2.4)

9385

0.9 (0.4, 1.4)

8185

− 0.2 (− 0.7, 0.3)

 Item score†

12,774

1.50 (1.48, 1.52)

9228

1.49 (1.47, 1.51)

8761

1.49 (1.47, 1.52)

9164

0.001 (− 0.014, 0.015)

7995

0.006 (− 0.009, 0.022)

  1. Change scores have a potential range from 0 (no change) to ±2. Change scores for 2023-2034 that differ significantly from 0 are in bold font. Findings for 2022 and 2023 respondents and mean differences for 2022-2023 were published previously [10] and are reproduced for convenience
  2. * Among respondents to both surveys
  3. † Mean scores were calculated using values indicated in the response lines for individual items. Non-responses were excluded from mean score calculations and differences in mean scores were computed in the subsample of respondents with non-missing responses in both years by computing within-individual change scores and averaging them, to account for the longitudinal study design. For computing differences in individual response levels, indicator variables were computed for each item for each response level and within-individual differences in these were computed and averaged in the subsample of respondents who responded to the survey in both years. This explains the variation in the unweighted n for the mean differences