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Table 3 Beliefs concerning the potential need for violence in the United States

From: Trends in views of democracy and society and support for political violence in the USA, 2022–2024: findings from a nationally representative survey

Statement

2022 Respondents (n= 12,947)

2023 Respondents (n=9385)

2024 Respondents (n=8896)

Mean Difference, * 2022-2023

Mean Difference, * 2023-2024

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI) Mean score (95% CI)

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI) Mean score (95% CI)

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI) Mean score (95% CI)

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI) Mean score (95% CI)

Unweighted n

Weighted % (95% CI) Mean score (95% CI)

If elected leaders will not protect American democracy, the people must do it themselves, even if it requires taking violent actions.

          

 Do not agree (1)

6461

50.2 (49.1, 51.3)

5920

62.1 (60.7, 63.4)

5546

62.4 (61.0, 63.8)

9385

11.6 (10.1, 13.0)

8185

0.1 (− 1.4, 1.6)

 Somewhat agree (2)

3838

29.6 (28.6, 30.6)

2397

25.9 (24.7, 27.2)

2310

24.7 (23.5, 26.0)

9385

− 3.3 (− 4.9, -1.7)

8185

− 1.4 (− 3.0, 0.1)

 Strongly or very strongly agree (3)

2502

18.5 (17.6, 19.4)

919

9.7 (8.8, 10.5)

901

10.3 (9.5, 11.3)

9385

− 8.8 (− 10.0, − 7.7)

8185

0.8 (− 0.2, 1.8)

 Non-response

146

1.6 (1.3, 2.0)

149

2.4 (1.9, 2.8)

139

2.6 (2.1, 3.2)

9385

0.6 (0.1, 1.1)

8185

0.5 (0.0, 1.0)

 Item score†

12,801

1.68 (1.66, 1.69)

9236

1.46 (1.44, 1.48)

8757

1.47 (1.45, 1.49)

9170

− 0.211 (− 0.233, − 0.190)

8003

0.006 (− 0.015, 0.026)

Our American way of life is disappearing so fast that we may have to use force to save it.

          

 Do not agree (1)

7360

56.0 (54.9, 57.1)

5733

59.6 (58.2, 61.0)

5583

61.9 (60.5, 63.3)

9385

3.3 (1.9, 4.7)

8185

− 0.1 (− 1.4, 1.3)

 Somewhat agree (2)

3406

26.7 (25.7, 27.7)

2419

26.0 (24.8, 27.3)

2184

23.7 (22.5, 24.9)

9385

− 0.3 (− 1.8, 1.3)

8185

− 0.9 (− 2.4, 0.5)

 Strongly or very strongly agree (3)

2032

15.8 (15.0, 16.6)

1101

12.1 (11.1, 13.0)

1005

12.1 (11.1, 13.1)

9385

− 3.6 (− 4.7, − 2.4)

8185

0.5 (− 0.5, 1.6)

 Non-response

149

1.5 (1.2, 1.8)

132

2.3 (1.8, 2.8)

124

2.3 (1.8, 2.8)

9385

0.6 (0.1, 1.1)

8185

0.4 (0.0, 0.9)

 Item score†

12,798

1.59 (1.58, 1.61)

9253

1.51 (1.49, 1.53)

8772

1.49 (1.47, 1.51)

9182

− 0.071 (− 0.092, − 0.050)

8018

0.005 (− 0.014, 0.025)

Because things have gotten so far off track, true American patriots may have to resort to violence in order to save our country.

          

 Do not agree (1)

9486

72.6 (71.6, 73.6)

6905

71.6 (70.3, 72.9)

6578

72.1 (70.7, 73.4)

9385

− 1.4 (− 2.7, − 0.1)

8185

1.5 (0.1, 3.0)

 Somewhat agree (2)

2287

17.8 (16.9, 18.6)

1675

18.5 (17.4, 19.6)

1539

17.4 (16.3, 18.5)

9385

1.3 (0.0, 2.6)

8185

− 1.8 (− 3.4, − 0.3)

 Strongly or very strongly agree (3)

992

7.7 (7.1, 8.3)

670

7.6 (6.8, 8.4)

642

8.1 (7.3, 9.0)

9385

− 0.1 (− 0.9, 0.8)

8185

0.1 (− 1.1, 1.2)

 Non-response

182

2.0 (1.6, 2.3)

135

2.3 (1.8, 2.8)

137

2.4 (2.0, 3.0)

9385

0.2 (− 0.3, 0.7)

8185

0.3 (− 0.2, 0.7)

 Item score†

12,765

1.34 (1.32, 1.35)

9250

1.34 (1.33, 1.36)

8759

1.34 (1.33, 1.36)

9171

0.012 (− 0.006, 0.030)

8029

− 0.016 (− 0.037, 0.005)

In the next few years, there will be civil war in the United States.

          

 Do not agree (1)

6407

47.6 (46.5, 48.8)

6167

63.2 (61.9, 64.6)

5768

62.2 (60.8, 63.6)

9385

15.1 (13.7, 16.5)

8185

− 1.7 (− 3.1, − 0.2)

 Somewhat agree (2)

4746

36.7 (35.6, 37.7)

2576

28.3 (27.1, 29.6)

2524

28.8 (27.6, 30.2)

9385

− 8.0 (− 9.6, − 6.4)

8185

0.8 (− 0.7, 2.3)

 Strongly or very strongly agree (3)

1604

13.7 (12.9, 14.5)

480

5.7 (5.1, 6.4)

465

6.5 (5.8, 7.4)

9385

− 7.7 (− 8.7, − 6.6)

8185

0.8 (− 0.1, 1.7)

 Non-response

190

2.0 (1.7, 2.4)

162

2.7 (2.2, 3.2)

139

2.4 (1.9, 2.9)

9385

0.6 (0.0, 1.1)

8185

0.1 (− 0.4, 0.6)

 Item score†

12,757

1.65 (1.64, 1.67)

9223

1.41 (1.39, 1.43)

8757

1.43 (1.41, 1.45)

9149

− 0.236 (− 0.255, − 0.217)

8004

0.026 (0.007, 0.045)

  1. Change scores have a potential range from 0 (no change) to ±2. Change scores for 2023-2034 that differ significantly from 0 are in bold font. Findings for 2022 and 2023 respondents and mean differences for 2022-2023 were published previously [10] and are reproduced for convenience
  2. * Among respondents to both surveys
  3. † Mean scores were calculated using values indicated in the response lines for individual items. Non-responses were excluded from mean score calculations and differences in mean scores were computed in the subsample of respondents with non-missing responses in both years by computing within-individual change scores and averaging them, to account for the longitudinal study design. For computing differences in individual response levels, indicator variables were computed for each item for each response level and within-individual differences in these were computed and averaged in the subsample of respondents who responded to the survey in both years. This explains the variation in the unweighted n for the mean differences